Abu Mazen and September 2011 – Why and where to?

The project through which the Palestine Liberation Organization (PLO) will be attempting next September to gain recognition and full membership in the United Nations (UN) for a Palestinian state on the occupied Palestinian territories based on the 1949 armistice lines – which are more commonly and erroneously referred to as the June 4, 1967 borders – is dead before it is born.  The process to gain such recognition is clear:  States are admitted to membership in the United Nations by decision of the General Assembly upon the recommendation of the Security Council.  In other words, the UN does it in two separate steps:  First, the Security Council must recommend such recognition by nine votes of its fifteen members, provided that none of the permanent members (i.e.China,Britain, France,Russia, and United States) votes against it.  Second, the Security Council recommendation is then sent to the General Assembly for approval by a two-third majority vote.

The United States has declared, on more than one occasion, that it would not allow such recognition to pass through the Security Council.  It views the effort as aiming to isolate the state of Israel, and that it would not support any such effort.  Therefore, unless the United States changes its policy – which is highly unlikely – this whole project will be born dead.

The question remains:  Since President Mahmoud Abbas knows this fact as much as we do, probably with much more details, one wonders:  What does he wish to accomplish by investing so much resources and energies into a futile exercise?  It is obvious that Abu Mazen wants this show to go on for a reason that we do not know.  More importantly, it is only known to him what he intends to do after his almost guaranteed failure at the UN.

It would be an uninformed, ignorant judgment to simply dismiss Abu Mazen as miscalculating or as being stupid.  The more sober observer would say that it remains to be seen to which direction Abu Mazen is leading the Palestinian people.  His supporters would follow his lead to the bitter end; his adversaries might attack him; and others might speculate, but in less than three months, we will find out.

Monzer Zimmo
Ottawa,Canada
2011/06/27

Hope is the stuff from which life is made!

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About Alcanaanite

Monzer Zimmo, a Palestinian-Canadian living and working in Ottawa, Canada. Monzer is an advocate of resolving the Palestinian-Israeli conflict through the peaceful creation of a bi-national-democratic state on all the territory of historic Palestine, where Christians, Jews, Muslims, and others live together as equal citizens; be and feel safe, secure, and at home.
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3 Responses to Abu Mazen and September 2011 – Why and where to?

  1. TA says:

    My guess is that this is more of a public relations initiative intended to force the question on the world as to why Palestinians cannot have their state that was set up by the UN. It is not a bad tactic if they handle it well. Indeed, it will be vetoed but the question will have attracted attention. Much like the flottilla .. people going there know this is not a viable way to break the blockade but they see it as a way to bring the issue to the world’s attention. As you say, we will find out soon enough.

  2. Christopher Assad says:

    Monzer, Abu-Mazen continues to do what he (did) and (does) best…Nothing. Its a waste of time and resources, part and parcel of the “peace process”!! Where everyone involved must be seen doing something, but nothing gets done.

  3. There is no doubt that the mission is not an easy one, not due to the US or EU position only, because had they wanted to adopt resolutions 242 & 338, things would have been much better. On the other hand, the occupier has no intention to withdraw from any territory. As a result the PA has no other choice but to try this last shot and if a failure, then Abu Mazen and his group will resign. In other words, the PA will be totally dismantled, a third Intifada will start and bloodshed more than ever. The problem is that both legislative and so-called presidential Elections should have taken place much earlier, after which the new elcted group would decide which road they should go.
    The present situation cannot continue the way it is… both the occupation and siege are rejected internationally. So I hope that the present handlers of the issue will know how to play the game.
    NAS

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