Israel will not attack Iran; not without direct American participation

The most talked about subject in international news nowadays is the “possible, probable, eminent, expected, feared, anticipated, almost-inevitable, etc.” Israeli attack on Iran in an attempt to destroy Iran’s nuclear facilities.

If Israel were able to inflict serious damage to – let alone destroy – the Iranian nuclear program at a cost that Israel can absorb, Israeli leaders would not have talked about attacking; they would have done it.  All the talk about an Israeli military strike against Iranian nuclear installations, that has persisted for many months, is understood by any reasonably informed logical observer to be some sort of psychological warfare and an attempt by Israeli leaders to employ whatever influence they have over the American domestic politics in an election year to obtain an American commitment to take an American – not Israeli – military action against Iran.

Israel will not attack Iran because it knows that it cannot do it without suffering heavy costs that it would not be able to easily bear alone.  Furthermore, in spite of their declared positions, Israeli leaders are not stupid enough to take such action to force the hand of the Americans who appear to have told the Israelis in no uncertain terms that they do not have an appetite to engage in yet another war in the Middle East.

The bottom line is obvious; all Israeli talk about attacking Iran is “much ado about nothing.”  Unless the Americans decide to directly participate, there will be no Israeli attack on Iran – not in one month, not before the American elections, not shortly thereafter, not in four years.  To put it in simple terms, Israeli leaders know that they cannot afford the cost of such attack.

Monzer Zimmo
Ottawa, Canada
2012/08/16

Hope is the stuff from which life is made!

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About Alcanaanite

Monzer Zimmo, a Palestinian-Canadian living and working in Ottawa, Canada. Monzer is an advocate of resolving the Palestinian-Israeli conflict through the peaceful creation of a bi-national-democratic state on all the territory of historic Palestine, where Christians, Jews, Muslims, and others live together as equal citizens; be and feel safe, secure, and at home.
This entry was posted in America, Israeli Self-Destruction. Bookmark the permalink.

One Response to Israel will not attack Iran; not without direct American participation

  1. Nicolas says:

    Inshallah it will, so we solve all outstanding problems around the world including the Palestine question Nicolas Sayegh In God we trust

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